Topic category: Climate/Climate Change/Weather
Climate Change Human Link Evidence “Vanishing”
Republished with updated information
A March 5th BBC News article, Climate change human link evidence 'stronger', by BBC Science correspondent, Pallab Ghosh, writes about a UK Met Office climate change assessment by Dr. Peter Stott of the UK Met Office.
According to the story, Stott’s analysis is based on 110 research papers on the subject. The questions that come to mind are, (1) over what period of time were these papers written and, (2) what were the total number of such papers written over that time? Put another way, how selective was Stott with the material he reviewed? Clearly, Stott did not avail himself of the full body of information at his disposal.
Let’s examine Stott’s claims against the real world evidence:
The entire "study" by Dr. Stott provides no linkage to any human activity and climate. It appears that the UK’s CRU and Dr. Phil Jones aren’t the only UK agency and scientist with a problem being honest with the public about climate change.
It is worth noting that this is the same Dr. Peter Stott who was included in no less than 29 Climategate emails released to the public last autumn. Other members of the Climategate email clique whose email addresses appeared with Stott’s included Gavin Schmidt, Michael Mann, Tom Wigley, Kevin Trenberth, Stephen Schneider, Myles Allen, Simon Tett, Gareth Jones, Phil Jones, Keith Briffa, Benjamin Santer, Thomas R Karl, Jim Hansen, and Michael Oppenheimer (search for "Stott" at http://www.eastangliaemails.com/search.php to view the email messages). This is virtually a "who’s who" of the clique of scientists supporting IPCC efforts to claim that humans are significantly altering climate in the absence of any real supporting evidence.
Despite these checkered associations and complete lack of any real evidence, the BBC expects us to believe that the "evidence" Stott presents is real and mitigates the recently exposed revelations of impropriety by IPCC members and the Climategate clique. Rubbish!
And it gets worse.
This same "clique" as characterized by Dr. Wegman’s 2006 investigation into the fraudulent "Hockey Stick" methodology of Michael Mann, et al (pdf), systematically limited "peer review" of climate change papers to members of their clique. To no one’s surprise, this "peer review" process consistently rubber-stamped the clique’s mutual studies based upon assumption-backed theory supported by highly dubious computer model results, deeply flawed theory, poor temperature recording procedures, doctored temperature data records, fraudulent adjustments for urban heat effects, and conclusions that do not flow from the evidence.
It is worth noting that Wegman, a world-renowned expert in the fields of statistics and mathematical statistics and statistical methods, has been demonized by climate alarmists in response to his report. The stock response of climate alarmists to any criticism of their scam is to demonize the messenger while ignoring the substance of findings with which they disagree.
In addition to these activities, this clique exerts out-of-proportion influence over editorial boards of publications and professional organizations in order to both create the illusion of human impact on climate and limit the public’s exposure to any information other than that of their own creation. Such activities are the antithesis of sound scientific investigative practices. Ironically, these "scientists" have often been cited as a "consensus" of all scientists, a laughably inaccurate claim that vastly overstates the clique’s standing among climate scientists.
What follows (contrary to Stott’s assessment) is a more reasonable assessment of the state of climate change based on what is actually known today.
Climate Change Human Link Evidence "Vanishing"
A review of current climate conditions make it increasingly clear that human activities have no discernible impact on climate change.
The evidence for discernible human impact on climate is weaker now than it was when the IPCC published its last summary assessment in 2007 claiming, without any corroborating evidence, a near certainty that humans were causing global climate change. Note that the cutoff for new information considered by that report was December 2005 at a time when information was rapidly changing and increasing numbers of scientists were disputing the anthropogenic global warming (AGW) theory. Over the past four years many scientists have abandoned support of the AGW theory in the face of mounting evidence of fraud and mismanagement of the IPCC and fundamental flaws in AGW theory.
These conclusions are based on both real world data assessments and the mounting evidence of widespread fraud and collusion among a small, tightly-knit group of "climate" scientists whose sole objective has been to provide evidence of significant human impact on climate change, regardless of whether or not such significant impact exists.
Recent climate change is now recognized as being well within precedents for climate variability over the past 12,000 years where a continuing decline in the trend of peaks of warming periods is evident. Every prior warming episode has had a peak temperature warmer than the present estimate of global temperature. Note that the following graph (from Wikipedia) has most recent time at the left and ends at 2004.
Rapid changes in climate have been common throughout Earth’s climate history and such change is now overwhelmingly recognized to be natural. The following chart depicts the geologic record of global climate and global atmospheric concentration of CO2:
Current time is at the right of the graph. Note that, despite the current interglacial (Holocene) we are in a cold era. This chart shows that Earth’s typical temperature is much warmer than during cold eras. It also reveals that current CO2 levels are near historic lows!
Climate change in recent years has been identified as strongly linked to cyclic changes in ocean and atmospheric currents (PDO, NAO, AMO, ENSO, etc.) that significantly impact global weather and climate. None of the changes can be attributed to human activity. Recent reversal of the PDO, NAO, and AMO from warm phase to cold phase is thought to be responsible for the record cold and snowfall throughout the Northern Hemisphere over the past several years.
While the 2007 IPCC report stated that evidence was "unequivocal" that Earth was warming and it was likely due to mankind burning fossil fuels, we now know that the IPCC had no scientific basis for making that claim. Indeed, the entire IPCC process has recently been revealed to be severely compromised by fraud, inappropriate data manipulation, and conclusions from unproven theory in place of sound scientific evidence.
To this date, no scientist still supporting the AGW theory can explain why the theory's required greenhouse warming signature in the tropical mid-troposphere is entirely missing! This evidence is sufficient to render the AGW theory disproven.
WEBCommentary (Editor, Publisher)
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Heaven and Earth: Global Warming, the Missing Science, by Ian Plimer
The Peculiar Issue of Global Warming, Dr. Richard S. Lindzen
Deconstructing Global Warming by Dr. Richard S. Lindzen (2 Mb PDF of slides for Dr. Lindzen's presentation)
Why CO2 cannot be blamed for Global warming by Dr. David Evans
Prof. Bob Carter - Climate Change - has it been cancelled?
Monckton Congressional Testimony Follow-up Letter (March 30, 2009) to Reps. Markey & Barton (House Committee on Energy & Enviornment) by Christopher Monckton (pdf) - if you read nothing else on this page, download and read this material
Biography - Bob Webster
Bob Webster, a 12th-generation descendent of both the Darte family (Connecticut, 1630s) and the Webster family (Massachusetts, 1630s) is a descendant of Daniel Webster's father, Revolutionary War patriot Ebenezer Webster, who served with General Washington. Bob has always had a strong interest in early American history, our Constitution, U.S. politics, and law. Politically he is a constitutional republican with objectivist and libertarian roots. He has faith in the ultimate triumph of truth and reason over deception and emotion. He is a strong believer in our Constitution as written and views the abandonment of constitutional restraint by the regressive Progressive movement as a great danger to our Republic. His favorite novel is Atlas Shrugged by Ayn Rand and believes it should be required reading for all high school students so they can appreciate the cost of tolerating the growth of unconstitutional crushingly powerful central government. He strongly believes, as our Constitution enshrines, that the interests of the individual should be held superior to the interests of the state.
A lifelong interest in meteorology and climatology spurred his strong interest in science. Bob earned his degree in Mathematics at Virginia Tech, graduating in 1964.